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Table 6 Attrition rate (DiMasi et al. 2010)

From: Valuations using royalty data in the life sciences area—focused on anticancer and cardiovascular therapies

♦ Preclinical to IND: 70 %

Start

End

Probability

♦ Phase I to Phase 2: 71 %

PC

Approval

13.3 %

♦ Phase 2 to Phase 3: 45 %

P1

Approval

19.0 %

♦ Phase 3 to NDA/BLA: 64 %

P2

Approval

26.8 %

♦ NDA/BLA to approval: 93 %

P3

Approval

59.5 %

 

NDA/BLA

Approval

93.0 %